Vistry Falls 9% as JPMorgan Cuts Target to GBX 210

Vistry fell 9% on Tuesday on heavy trading volume, after JPMorgan cut its target to GBX 210 and analysts kept mixed ratings on the stock.

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Vistry Falls 9% as JPMorgan Cuts Target to GBX 210

Vistry fell 9% on Tuesday, dropping as low as GBX 259 after 303,811,469 shares changed hands. The trading volume was 1,654% above the average session volume of 17,322,355 shares, a sharp surge in activity around the stock.

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Vistry last traded at GBX 284, below the GBX 312.18 closing level from the prior session. For shareholders, that means the stock moved from the middle of its recent range to a level closer to the 50 day moving average of GBX 261.80 than to the two-hundred day moving average of GBX 398.57.

JPMorgan Chase and GBX 210

GBX 210 was JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s price objective after it reduced its target from GBX 430 on Monday, June 15th and set an underweight rating. Jefferies Financial Group later reaffirmed a hold rating on Tuesday, June 16th with a GBX 251 price target, while Royal Bank Of Canada reiterated an underperform rating on Thursday, July 9th and set a GBX 180 target price.

2 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings and 4 Sell ratings leave Vistry with a consensus rating of Reduce and an average price target of GBX 463.30. That spread between the consensus target and the latest trading level shows how split the analyst calls remain, even after Tuesday’s drop.

Adam Daniels and Paul Whetsell

38,372 shares bought by Adam Daniels on Wednesday, July 15th at an average cost of GBX 261 per share totaled £100,150.92. Paul Whetsell bought 15,000 shares on Tuesday, July 14th at GBX 253 per share for £37,950, and those purchases sit against a 1.21% insider ownership stake and 53,429 shares bought over the last quarter worth $13,825,254.

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25 regions and three home-selling brands, Bovis Homes, Linden Homes and Countryside Homes, give Vistry a broad operating base, but Tuesday’s move shows the market is still punishing the shares faster than insiders have been buying them. The stock’s 17.93 debt-to-equity ratio, 0.56 quick ratio and 2.52 current ratio leave traders focused on balance-sheet pressure as they weigh whether the latest analyst targets can hold.

Vistry PLC trading signal

What specific news or catalyst caused Vistry Group’s 9% share price drop on Tuesday remains the open question, and the heavy volume suggests the answer mattered to a lot of traders at once. Until that catalyst is clear, the price action itself is the signal: Vistry is trading far below the old GBX 430 target, but still above Royal Bank Of Canada’s GBX 180 view and close to the levels where insiders bought in July.

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Chartered financial analyst writing on equity markets, cryptocurrency, and Federal Reserve policy. MBA from Wharton School of Business.