Brandon Herrera is not in the North Dakota attorney general race, but Tim Lamb now needs 50.1% of the remaining vote to catch or overtake Drew Wrigley. Wrigley leads as live results continue to update on Election Day in North Dakota.
The threshold gives Lamb a narrow mathematical path. If the remaining ballots break below that pace, Wrigley stays ahead; if they break above it, the lead can flip as counting continues.
North Dakota vote math
The live results update is not a race call. It is a running projection built around the expected vote, which is the total number of votes expected in a given race once all ballots are counted.
That expected vote is an estimate, not a fixed total. It is based on several factors, including information on the number of votes cast early and information provided to NBC News vote reporters on Election Day by county election officials. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information.
Drew Wrigley leads now
Drew Wrigley is ahead in the North Dakota Attorney General Midterm Election 2026, and Tim Lamb has to win a majority of what is still left to be counted to close the gap. The live update also uses vote-shift comparisons once enough of the expected vote is in for a county.
Those county comparisons are part of the projection process, showing how the margin changes as more of the expected vote arrives from a county. The provides the data, and the NBC News Decision Desk makes the projections.
Tim Lamb's remaining path
For Lamb, the practical hurdle is simple: he needs 50.1% of the remaining vote, not just a better showing than Wrigley overall. That means the rest of the count has to lean his way enough to erase the current lead.
Readers following the race should watch the expected-vote number, because that is what changes the arithmetic behind the projection. As that estimate moves, the remaining margin needed to catch Wrigley can shift with it.
