Key Factors and Prediction for Michigan State vs. Penn State Football
The Michigan State Spartans are set to face the Penn State Nittany Lions in a crucial Big Ten matchup on Saturday at 3:40 p.m. The game will take place at Spartan Stadium and will be broadcast on CBS. The betting line currently favors Penn State by 7 points.
Key Factors and Predictions for Michigan State vs. Penn State Football
1. The Starting Quarterback: Alessio Milivojevic
Redshirt freshman Alessio Milivojevic is expected to start for the Spartans. In his initial game against Minnesota, he demonstrated resilience under pressure, which is critical against powerful rival defenses. However, Milivojevic struggled in the red zone, raising questions about the play calling and potential use of backup Aidan Chiles for goal-line situations.
2. Penn State’s Mental State
The mindset of the Nittany Lions heading into this game is uncertain. After tough losses to Ohio State and Indiana, it remains to be seen how focused they will be against an MSU team still seeking its first Big Ten victory. Despite possessing more talent than Michigan State, preparation and mental readiness can significantly influence the game’s outcome.
3. Offensive Line Performance
The Spartans’ offensive line improved during the second half against Minnesota, despite allowing six sacks in the first. Penn State features capable pass rushers, such as Dani Dennis-Sutton and Zane Durant, making improved pass protection vital for MSU’s success. A failure to shore up this aspect could lead to significant challenges offensively.
4. Nick Marsh’s Potential to Shine
Wide receiver Nick Marsh has recorded 46 catches for 554 yards and five touchdowns this season. Although facing heavy defensive coverage, he has the potential for a breakout game. While Penn State’s defense excels in passing situations, they are more vulnerable against the run, creating opportunities for Marsh to make an impact.
5. Spartan Stadium Crowd Expectations
Attendance for the game is expected to be around 50,000, despite competing events during this mid-November period. This matchup marks the last home game of the season, and many fans are eager to see Milivojevic and the Spartans secure their first non-vacated Big Ten win since 2021. However, if the crowd becomes disengaged, it may not provide the anticipated home-field advantage.
Game Prediction
Should Penn State be properly focused and energized, they could pose a formidable challenge for Michigan State. Historically, MSU has been capable of pulling off surprising performances against their rivals at home. A close and competitive game is likely, with predictions favoring a narrow victory for Penn State, suggested to be 25-20 against Michigan State.