Chiefs’ Path to Playoffs: Securing Postseason Spot Remains Within Reach
The Kansas City Chiefs have a challenging road ahead as they navigate the 2025 NFL season. Following a tough 22-19 loss to the Denver Broncos, the team’s record stands at 5-5. With seven games left in the schedule, every match becomes crucial in their pursuit of a playoff position.
Upcoming Matchups for the Chiefs
Kansas City is set to face several important opponents in the coming weeks:
- Indianapolis Colts at GEHA Field, Arrowhead Stadium
- Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium on Thanksgiving
- Houston Texans at GEHA Field, Arrowhead Stadium
- Los Angeles Chargers at GEHA Field, Arrowhead Stadium
- Tennessee Titans in Nashville
- Denver Broncos at GEHA Field, Arrowhead Stadium
- Las Vegas Raiders at Allegiant Stadium
Current Playoff Picture
As it stands, Kansas City faces a 57% chance of making the playoffs, down from 75% the previous week. Their chances of winning the AFC West have also decreased to 10%, falling from 25% the week prior. The probabilities for securing the AFC’s single bye and winning Super Bowl LX are at 1% and 4% respectively.
Playoff Calculations and Scenarios
To remain in postseason contention, the Chiefs must win all their remaining games. Here’s how different outcomes affect their playoff chances:
- If Kansas City loses to either the Colts or Cowboys, their chances of making the playoffs would still be 99% in most cases.
- A loss to any other AFC team would reduce their chances to about 94%.
- Losing two games decreases their odds significantly, especially if those losses are to the Colts and Cowboys.
Chances to Win the AFC West
The Chiefs no longer fully control their destiny in the division. However, winning all remaining games could give them a 57% chance of claiming a tenth consecutive AFC West title. Factors influencing this include:
- Defeating the Chargers in Week 15.
- Expecting the Chargers to lose additional games against teams such as the Raiders and Eagles.
- Winning against the Broncos in Week 17.
Possibility of a First-Round Bye
Despite potential playoff scenarios, the Chiefs’ chance of achieving a first-round bye is slim. Even with a strong finish, they have only a 4% chance of securing the top seed. It appears likely that the team will need to compete in the Wild Card round if they qualify for the postseason.
To enhance their playoff prospects, the Chiefs must focus on each upcoming game. Success in these matches is essential for their continued relevance in this year’s playoff race.
