Groundhog Day 2026: Willie and Fred Forecast Spring, Sam Declines
On February 2, 2026, the annual Groundhog Day celebrations revealed mixed fortunes for spring forecasts across Canada. Notably, one of the country’s most recognized groundhogs, Shubenacadie Sam, could not participate this year due to severe winter weather in Nova Scotia.
Groundhog Day Forecasts 2026
The famed groundhogs, Wiarton Willie, Fred la Marmotte, and Shubenacadie Sam, traditionally predict the onset of spring based on whether they see their shadows. If a groundhog sees its shadow, legend says winter will last for six more weeks, while no shadow suggests an early spring.
Weather Interrupts Predictions
On this Groundhog Day, Shubenacadie Sam’s event was officially canceled due to forecasts of a significant winter storm. A weather advisory from Environment Canada warned of blowing snow and hazardous driving conditions, affecting visitors traveling to Sam’s location in Shubenacadie Wildlife Park, approximately 50 kilometers north of Halifax.
Other Groundhogs in Action
- Wiarton Willie in Bruce County, Ontario, is still set to deliver his prediction.
- Fred la Marmotte in Quebec’s Gaspésie region will also make an appearance.
- Meanwhile, Lucy the Lobster in Barrington, Nova Scotia, is anticipated to offer her forecasts as part of the Lobster Crawl festival.
In 2025, Canadian groundhogs had different predictions for the arrival of spring, showcasing the varied weather patterns across the nation. The tradition of observing these animals’ shadows has roots dating back to medieval Europe, linking them to the arrival of early spring.
As Canadians celebrate this quirky tradition, they look forward to the forecasts from Willie, Fred, and Lucy to determine the fate of their spring.
