Expert: Immigration Caps Cause Saskatchewan Population Decline
An immigration expert indicates that Saskatchewan is experiencing a population decline, primarily due to a drop in non-permanent residents. This decline has prompted the province’s opposition to seek solutions to retain young residents.
Current Population Trends in Saskatchewan
As of October 2025, Saskatchewan’s population reached 1,266,234. This figure marked a significant increase from the previous year, with a growth of 9,251 people. However, by July 2026, the population saw a decline of 725 residents. This is noteworthy, as it is the first population drop in two decades, with a similar decline noted in early 2020.
Factors Influencing Population Decline
The opposition leader, Carla Beck, highlighted the concerns over young people leaving Saskatchewan. In response, the New Democratic Party (NDP) initiated an online survey to gather feedback and ideas for improvement.
- Increased focus on attracting and retaining young residents.
- Online surveys to collect public input on growth strategies.
Despite these efforts, immigration expert Rupa Banerjee asserts that the reasons behind the population changes are multifaceted and not unique to Saskatchewan. She noted a trend of zero population growth across Canada, but Saskatchewan’s decline has not been as steep as in some other areas.
The Role of Immigration Caps
According to the provincial government, the decline in population is a result of a “necessary reset” in immigration numbers. In 2024, the federal government imposed caps on temporary foreign workers and international students to manage changing immigration dynamics. This decision also affected the Provincial Nominee Program, limiting the number of skilled workers that could enter the province.
Impact on Skilled Workers and Newcomers
Banerjee identifies the scaling back of immigration allowances as a key factor affecting the population. While Saskatchewan has attracted numerous skilled workers, many do not remain in the province long-term. The lack of adequate support services and community resources for newcomers leads to their departure.
- Inadequate support services for newcomers contribute to retention issues.
- Many skilled workers opt to leave after initial employment due to a lack of community sense.
Banerjee advocates for enhancing services and community-building efforts, citing Halifax as a model that has successfully supported newcomer integration. The ultimate goal is to ensure that residents establish roots, contribute to local growth, and enhance the province’s economic landscape.
Future Prospects for Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan received an additional 1,100 spots in the Saskatchewan Immigrant Nominee Program as of August, raising the total to 4,761. This move aims to facilitate a gradual increase in the province’s population in the coming years.
Addressing these concerns effectively will be crucial for Saskatchewan’s demographic and economic future.
