Michael Biopic Set for Strong $12M-$13M Box Office Previews

Antoine Fuqua’s long-awaited biopic about Michael Jackson is set to make a significant splash at the box office. The film is expected to gross between $12 million to $13.5 million from its Thursday previews and special Imax screenings on Wednesday night across North America. This potential opening places Michael on par with major event films like Dune: Part II and Oppenheimer, which also reported preview earnings in the $10 million range.

Box Office Projections and Performance

The film’s early screenings received a mixed reception, evidenced by a fluctuating Rotten Tomatoes critics’ score that ranged from 29 to 40 percent. Critics expressed concerns regarding the film’s decision to culminate the narrative in the late 80s, before allegations of child sexual abuse emerged. However, many fans have shown overwhelming excitement about the film.

Projected Domestic Earnings

• Projected earnings: $65 million to $80 million within the opening weekend.
• This could potentially set a record for music biopics, surpassing:
• Straight Outta Compton – $60.2 million.
• Bohemian Rhapsody – $55 million.

Graham King, the producer behind both Michael and Bohemian Rhapsody, has noted the film’s growing interest among audiences. Initial tracking suggested a box office range of $55 million to $60 million, which has now adjusted upwards.

International Reception

Internationally, Michael opened in 82 markets, excluding Japan, and earned a total of $18.5 million so far, including previews. The film achieved remarkable milestones, positioning itself as follows:

• France: $2.6 million, marking the biggest opening day for a biopic.
• UK & Ireland: $2.6 million, the highest opening day ever for a musical biopic.
• Italy: $1.3 million, also setting a record for musical biopics.
• Australia: $1 million, the largest opening day for any musical biopic.
• Brazil: $651,000 in previews, totaling $2 million in the market.

Michael currently holds the number one position at the box office in Brazil, capturing a 68 percent market share, further illustrating the film’s initial success.

Conclusion

As Michael Jackson’s story unfolds on the big screen, it appears that both fans and critics are paying close attention. With strong early numbers and historical records within reach, the film’s complete narrative and audience reception will shape its legacy in the biopic genre.