Weather Maps Point to 24C as Uk Bank Holiday Weather Forecast Holds
Weather modelling maps in the uk bank holiday weather forecast point to 24C in south-east England, including London, on May 22. The outlook comes after the Met Office said conditions this week are likely to stay below 20C nationwide from Monday to Friday.
The ECMWF model shows a four-day warm spell starting on May 21, with 35 counties in England and Wales potentially reaching 20C or above. For readers in the warmest areas, the first signs arrive in the south-east and central England before the heat spreads more widely across England by May 24.
May 21 to May 22
On May 21, highs of 23C are possible in the south-east of England, while much of central England could reach 20C. A day later, the maps show 24C in the south-east including London, 22C in other southern parts of England and 21C in central England.
Northern Ireland and Scotland are expected to stay a few notches cooler than England through this period. Some areas of Wales close to the border with England could also see temperatures rise to around 20C.
May 23 to May 24
May 23 is expected to bring 23C in southern England and 21C in the Midlands. The ECMWF model then points to May 24 as the best day for widespread heat, with 22C and 23C highs possible across a broad stretch of England from the south coast to Yorkshire.
That leaves a sharp split in the same spell: much of England turns warmer later in the period, while the Met Office forecast for May 16 to May 25 says changeable and at times rather unsettled conditions are likely to dominate through the middle part of May. It also says low pressure is often close by, with periods of rain or showers, some of which could be heavy, alongside drier interludes.
Met Office May 16 to May 25
The Met Office forecast says temperatures are initially likely cooler than average, before they may become rather warm by the end of the period as conditions turn more settled, especially in the south. For anyone planning around the late-May break, the clearest reading is to expect a cooler start, then watch the south-east first for the strongest rise.
