Ashlee Baracy Forecasts 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. Weather Today Risk

Weather today turns stormy Thursday in Southeast Michigan, with the highest severe-weather risk from 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. before a dry weekend.

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Ashlee Baracy Forecasts 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. Weather Today Risk

Ashlee Baracy says weather today turns unsettled Thursday, with thunderstorms expected to develop and become more widespread across Southeast Michigan. The highest severe-weather risk is forecast between 1 p.m. and 7 p.m., with the strongest storms most likely in the Detroit metro area and points south.

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All of Southeast Michigan stays under a Marginal Risk, which is Level 1 of 5 for severe weather. Baracy said stronger storms are the main concern in the afternoon window, while scattered showers and non-severe thunderstorms may linger into Thursday night and overnight. For readers tracking the forecast, The Weather Channel posts 76240 forecast — Weather Today Near Me.

Ashlee Baracy forecast

Baracy, the meteorologist delivering the 4Warn Weather forecast, said a cold front will drive the changes after the storm chance builds Thursday. A few lingering showers are possible Friday morning as the front pushes south of the Michigan state line, and Friday high temperatures are expected to reach the mid-80s.

By Friday afternoon, skies are expected to gradually clear and humidity is expected to lower. That sequence gives the region a short turnaround from the Thursday storm window to a calmer end of the workweek.

Great Lakes weekend

High pressure is expected to settle over the Great Lakes this weekend, bringing dry weather and seasonable temperatures to Southeast Michigan. Baracy said, "If you’ve been waiting for a comfortable summer weekend, this one is shaping up to be a great one."

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The forecast then turns back toward heat next week. Models indicate another surge of hot weather with the potential for three or more consecutive days of 90-degree temperatures across Southeast Michigan, so the dry weekend may be brief.

Detroit metro area risk

The practical focus for Thursday is the 1 p.m. to 7 p.m. window, when the strongest storms are most likely. People in the Detroit metro area and points south sit in the part of Southeast Michigan with the greatest chance for stronger storms, while the broader region remains in the Level 1 risk zone.

Strongest storms in that setup can bring the most active part of the forecast into a few-hour stretch, with lighter showers and thunder still possible outside the peak window. The open question is whether Thursday’s storms stay isolated or organize enough to produce specific severe impacts in the Detroit metro area and nearby communities.

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Investigative news reporter specialising in local government, public policy, and social issues. Two-time Regional Press Award winner.