Greg Abbott leads gina hinojosa 45% to 42% in a July 28 Texas Public Opinion Research poll of likely Texas voters. The gap is 3 percentage points, with 10% undecided.
The survey was conducted July 15-17 among 1,048 likely Texas voters and carries a margin of error of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points. That puts Abbott’s lead just outside the poll’s error range, while the undecided share leaves room for movement.
July 28 poll
The new result follows earlier polls that gave Abbott larger margins over Hinojosa. A June 30 New York Times poll showed him ahead 51% to 44%, a June 22 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll put the race at 47% to 40%, and a May 29 Texas Public Opinion Research poll found Abbott leading 46% to 41% with 9% undecided. An April University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll had Abbott ahead 44% to 38%.
Hinojosa said, “My plan is simple: save public schools, put money in your pocket, and end the Greg Abbott Corruption Tax.” She also said, “While Abbott still focuses on lining the pockets of his billionaire buddies and data center donors, I’m traveling the state hearing from Republicans, Independent and Democrats that are ready to rebuild the American Dream in Texas with an economy that works for the people, strong neighborhood schools, and safe communities.”
Texas governor race
The July poll also shows where each candidate is finding support. Hinojosa led among independents, moderates, Black voters, and Latino voters, while Abbott led among college-educated voters and white voters. That split leaves the race close overall, but with each side drawing strength from different blocs of likely voters.
For Hinojosa, the practical test is whether the 3-point gap and 10% undecided hold as Texas voters hear more from both campaigns. The July numbers show a tighter contest than earlier polls, but Abbott still has the edge until another survey or vote changes the picture.
