Buccaneers vs. Bills: Week 11 NFL Picks, Odds, and Player Props

In Week 11 of the 2025 NFL season, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face off against the Buffalo Bills in a critical matchup. Both teams are striving to clinch their respective divisions while players Baker Mayfield and Josh Allen compete for the NFL MVP title.

Game Overview

The Buccaneers aim to rebound after suffering losses in two of their last four games against the Lions and Patriots. Tampa’s offensive performance has dipped, primarily due to injuries affecting key players such as Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Bucky Irving. This has impacted their scoring capabilities significantly.

Bucs Offensive Challenges

• Rachaad White is averaging only 3.7 yards per carry.
• Emeka Egbuka, a strong Rookie of the Year candidate, is expected to play a vital role against the Bills’ formidable defense.
• The Bills have allowed the fifth-fewest receptions to wide receivers this season.

Offensive Coordinator Josh Grizzard may choose to leverage the Bills’ struggling run defense, which has allowed an average of 147 yards per game, to maintain possession and support Mayfield.

Bills’ Recent Performance

The Bills hope to bounce back following a disappointing 30-13 loss to the Dolphins last week. Josh Allen’s ability to prolong drives is crucial, even though the team’s passing attack has been inconsistent.

Key Players

• James Cook ranks second in scrimmage yards and is crucial to the team’s success.
• Allen stands fourth in rushing yards among quarterbacks.

The Bills have exhibited a preference for their run game, which has been effective. They remain undefeated when Cook exceeds 100 rushing yards in a game.

Weather Impact

Weather conditions are expected to play a significant role in the game. Forecasts predict sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph, gusts over 30 mph, and a mix of rain and snow, with temperatures in the low 40s. These factors could lead to a lower-scoring game.

Betting Insights

Recent trends suggest that both teams lean towards the Under in their respective games, with the Bills hitting the Under in four of the last five. The Buccaneers have gone Under in two of their last three games.

Recommended Bet

The expected outcome of the game may lean towards a defensive battle. Bet on the outcome being Under 47 points at odds of -110 with BetMGM.

As the teams prepare for this pivotal matchup, monitor player performances and weather conditions closely. Both factors could heavily influence the game outcome and betting strategies.