Pratt Drives Super Mario Galaxy Movie Boxoffice Odds to 8%
Chris Pratt and the super mario galaxy movie boxoffice have been pushed to roughly 8% odds on Polymarket as bettors now favor Marvel titles to finish 2026 as the year’s highest-grossing film. The shift leaves The Super Mario Galaxy Movie entering its 7th week in theaters with a smaller betting profile even after an early run that made it the year’s top earner.
Polymarket shifts to Marvel
70% is the number now attached to Spider-Man: Brand New Day on Polymarket, with Avengers: Doomsday at around 12% and The Super Mario Galaxy Movie at roughly 8%. That ranking makes the market’s current view plain: bettors are assigning the strongest year-end box-office finish to Marvel, not to the animated sequel that once led the board.
Early April is when The Super Mario Galaxy Movie reached theaters, and by early May it had crossed roughly $922 million worldwide. It had already become the highest-grossing movie of 2026, helped by a cast that includes Chris Pratt, Ana Taylor-Joy, Charlie Day and Jack Black. The betting market has since moved away from that early lead as the film settles deeper into its run.
$922 million and counting
More than $900 million globally gives the film a cushion that many releases never reach, and the context here is simple: it is still on track to clear $1 billion by the end of its theatrical run. Even so, the current odds suggest traders see less upside left than they do in Marvel’s 2026 slate, especially with the movie now entering its 7th week in theaters.
Nearly $2 billion is the benchmark sitting behind Spider-Man: Brand New Day’s market edge, because the previous Spider-Man film, No Way Home, finished at that level worldwide. For bettors, that history appears to matter more than The Super Mario Galaxy Movie’s early-year lead, and it explains why the sequel that once sat on top now trails two Marvel contenders in the year-end race.
Marvel’s ceiling vs. Mario
8% leaves The Super Mario Galaxy Movie in third place on Polymarket, behind both Marvel films and well below the level it held earlier in 2026. The practical read for box-office watchers is narrower now: the film can still add to its total, but the betting market no longer sees it as the likeliest finish line holder for the year.
